Prediction Case File
ADAUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Kid2025-09-19T23:13:12weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-21.54%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.8922
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
2
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.7
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.8962
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
124.16%
Initial Invalidation Distance
21.54%
Risk / Reward
5.76
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-21.54%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
100%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable100.00%
Derived Quality88.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-19T23:13:12
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
501.77h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Kid
YouTube · @Crypto-Kid
Reliability
43.44
Success Rate
28.54%
Consistency
84.01
Risk Adjusted
-14.89
Avg Return
-4.19%
Avg Quality
3.47
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
k_nP65vrMFA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a technical analysis of BTCUSDT, ADAUSDT and PENGUUUSDT. For Bitcoin, a massive inverse head and shoulders pattern is identified with a neckline at 117.5k. A potential target price of $128,405 is suggested if Bitcoin breaks above $117.5k, based on the height of the inverse head and shoulders pattern. The analysis considers a bullish scenario contingent on the breakout. The analyst points out potential downside risks due to short-term bearish divergence and choppy consolidation. The analyst is opening a PENGUU bot on Pionex with a target is 0.586, as this coin has high risk the failure bound to invalidate analysis is 0.027. Also he analyses ADAUDS, pointing that in October altcoin season starts and he will open long positions to ADA expecting it reach to 2 dollars the week price. The analyst also pointed out that his analysis can fail to 0.7

Original Caption

🟨 WEEX: https://cryptokid.io/WEEXBonus UP TO $30,000 IN BONUS 🟠 PIONEX: https://cryptokid.io/PionexBonus DEPOSIT $100, GET $100 BONUS 🟠 BITCOIN BOT https://share.pionex.com/s/2mcmS2Jp?l=en 🟠 PENGU BOT https://share.pionex.com/s/GgprR9pY?l=en BITCOIN HOLDERS, WATCH OUT. TRADE ON BYBIT: https://cryptokid.io/BYBIT ️ Chart on TradingView: https://cryptokid.io/TradingView Become a student at Crypto Kid Academy: https://cryptokid.com Join the Crypto Kids Community: https://t.me/CryptoKids You can also follow me on: 𝕏 Twitter: https://x.com/CryptoKidcom Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/cryptokid TikTok: http://www.tiktok.com/@efecryptokid Get in Touch: contact@cryptokid.com I'm Crypto Kid, and I just wanted to say thank you for watching my videos. I've been a Bitcoin advocate since I was 12 years old. I make videos on the Crypto Kid channel to spread cryptocurrency adoption, and help my audience become financially sovereign. Timestamps: 00:00 Bitcoin 08:29 Cardano 10:22 Pengu 14:19 Macro Charts 15:39 F1 #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading DISCLAIMER The content, opinions and other information in the videos are intended as general information and for entertainment purposes only and it is not to be construed as professional or financial advice. VIRTUAL ASSET INVESTMENTS ARE HIGH RISK AND MAY RESULT IN THE LOSS OF YOUR CAPITAL. Information in the videos is solely the opinion of the speaker who is not a financial advisor nor a firm. I do not have any representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the accuracy, validity, reliability, availability, or completeness of any information. Any reliance you place on such information is strictly at your own risk. I, including directors, officers, employees, affiliates, agents and representatives, assumes no liability for any errors or omissions in the information presented nor the availability of said information. I disclaim responsibility for any losses, injuries or damages resulting from the display or use of any information. Investing always comes with a considerable risk. I recommend viewers to do their own research before engaging in any trade activity. The channel may contain links to other channels, internet sites or technologies supplied by third parties. I do not exercise control over legality of Third-Party Sites or their compliance with applicable laws. Therefore, I explicitly disclaim liability for any loss or damage arising from your use or access to any Third-Party Sites. I do not intend to make any direct or indirect market communication to users and consumers based in the United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, the United States of America, India or China. By accessing this channel, you acknowledge and agree to the terms outlined in this disclaimer. PROMOTION AND AFFILIATES The appearance of third-party advertisements and hyperlinks does not constitute an endorsement, guarantee, warranty, or recommendation by me. I am not your broker, intermediary, representative, agent, or advisor. This channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors or affiliates. The promotion only reflects my personal honest opinion of the product. I may receive compensation for the promotions in my videos. Conduct your own research before deciding to use any third-party service. This video contains affiliate partnership with Bybit, WEEX, Pionex & Coinflare

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal