Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

AllinCrypto2025-09-16T08:28:46weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-22.26%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
115,763.2
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
300,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
90,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
110,000
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
159.15%
Initial Invalidation Distance
22.26%
Risk / Reward
7.15
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-22.26%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-16T08:28:46
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-18T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-18T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-18T00:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,503.52h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

AllinCrypto
YouTube · @realallincrypto
Reliability
41.02
Success Rate
25.29%
Consistency
84.53
Risk Adjusted
-25.04
Avg Return
-8.43%
Avg Quality
3.31
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
gPiArshfVpM
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a technical overview of the cryptocurrency space, focusing on Bitcoin and altcoins. It starts with a bullish projection that Bitcoin will reach over $300,000, citing a cup and handle pattern on the total market cap excluding Bitcoin (TOTAL2) chart. This pattern suggests a potential move from the current $1.6 trillion to $6.3 trillion. The analysis notes that breaking into new all-time highs typically leads to continuation. Bitcoin dominance is believed to be in a downtrend, characterized as 'Phase 4'. The presenter also briefly touches on ETPs. All ships rise and sink with bitcoin. The analysis identifies a cup and handle pattern, suggesting a bullish outlook.

Original Caption

The total cryptocurrency market cap, excluding Bitcoin, is analyzed through the lens of Total2. A cup and handle pattern suggests a breakout to new all-time highs. The cryptocurrency space direction is very obvious. #cryptocurrency #Bitcoin #marketcap #altcoins #ETPs

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal