Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2025-09-15T15:51:41monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
6.92%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
417.06900024
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
445.91
Predicted objective
Invalidation
377.62
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
395.94
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
6.92%
Initial Invalidation Distance
9.46%
Risk / Reward
0.73
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
6.92%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-15T15:51:41
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-29T04:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-29T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-29T04:00:00
Max High
417.06900024
Max High At
-
Min Low
417.06900024
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
324.13h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.83
Success Rate
32.86%
Consistency
89.79
Risk Adjusted
-4.4
Avg Return
-0.86%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
iZgGlxKzmIw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on TSLA. The stock closed above the 360.76 channel top. On Friday, the stock pushed through the 377.62 channel top and spent much of the day around 394.14. A settlement above 394.14 suggests higher trading potential this week, although it may open at or below that price. Possible intraday target is 377.62. Opening above 394.14 would suggest a buy, with 414.41 as a profit-taking area. A 2-3 week target is 426.11. Closing today above 414.41 could lead to a test of 426.11, potentially on Tuesday.The rising channel top at 453.46 may impact future movement. Opening above 394.14 implies weekly selling pressures, with 414.41 attainable today. If the stock closes below 394.14, there is a possibility it can trade to 360.76 by the end of the week. On the way down 377.62 offers support. Closing above 394.14 continues the rally, targeting 426.11 this week. Resistance is around 445.91, possibly attainable in 2-3 weeks. Channel support is presently at 300.59.

Original Caption

Elon Musk’s insider buy sent $TSLA flying, breaking key levels. With $394 holding as support, upside targets $414 → $426 → $445+. See why $TSLA chart + news line up for a more breakout run.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal