Prediction Case File
SHIBUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Jacob Crypto Bury2025-09-14T23:00:37intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.74%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.00001378
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.00001562
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.00001354
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.00001368
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
13.35%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.74%
Risk / Reward
7.67
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-1.74%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-14T23:00:37
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-15T06:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-15T06:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-15T06:00:00
Max High
0.00001381
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.00001353
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
6.98h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Jacob Crypto Bury
YouTube · @JacobCryptoBury
Reliability
44.33
Success Rate
30.1%
Consistency
80.23
Risk Adjusted
-26.16
Avg Return
-6.72%
Avg Quality
3.26
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
hm_qK5ncMlk
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

Shiba Inu (SHIBUSDT) is currently trading at 0.00001368. The analysis identifies a diagonal sloping resistance that SHIB has been repeatedly rejected from, suggesting an inability to break through this level, which is around 0.00001484. A local support is identified at 0.000012, where the downside may be 12%. A falling wedge pattern is observed, typically a bullish reversal pattern. If this pattern plays out as expected, SHIB could potentially move upwards to the 0.00001562 level which is the 1.618 Fibonacci level, a 14% increase from the current level. The existence of this pattern suggest a bullish potential if the trend breaks the trading range. The video states that in this market meme coins up 14% which represents consolidation, and the overall meme coin valuation around $80 billion. The current RSI is at 41.25.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal