Prediction Case File
NDXstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2025-09-15T05:37:58dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.39%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
24,106.67773438
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
22,820.91
Predicted objective
Invalidation
24,200
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
24,092.19
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
5.33%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.39%
Risk / Reward
13.78
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-0.39%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-15T05:37:58
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Resolved Candle
2025-09-15T13:30:00
Max High
24,245.71289063
Max High At
2025-09-15T13:30:00
Min Low
24,175.16601563
Min Low At
2025-09-15T13:30:00
Time To Result
5,899.87h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.03
Success Rate
44.96%
Consistency
92.21
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.8%
Avg Quality
3.55
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
MkcM59RWfvQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes the Nasdaq futures (MNQ1!) and NDX, highlighting a potential pullback based on technical indicators. The speaker points out a "7 council signal" suggesting caution. A previous decline in August of approximately 4.5% is referenced as a precedent, and multiple gaps in other charts indicate the potential for further decline. For NDX, the speaker identifies several potential gaps, estimating a potential decline of 1%, 1.8%, 3.5%, and 5.25% from Friday's close.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal