Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Qriptal2025-09-14T22:28:26intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.46%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
115,881.78
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
111,444
Predicted objective
Invalidation
116,415
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
115,415
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
3.83%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.46%
Risk / Reward
8.32
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-0.46%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-14T22:28:26
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-15T05:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-15T05:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-15T05:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
6.52h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Qriptal
YouTube · @qriptal
Reliability
52.42
Success Rate
40.95%
Consistency
90.11
Risk Adjusted
-6.31
Avg Return
1.17%
Avg Quality
3.75
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
_5k-0p5UhsU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst discusses Bitcoin, Ethereum, Avax and Doge using technical analysis, noting key support and resistance levels derived from an imbalance indicator. For Bitcoin, the introduction of Bitunix with a 30% discount is mentioned and the overall trend is thought to be bearish. The analyst says for Bitcoin, they're expecting a range for the next 2 days until the Fed. For Altcoins, Ethereum's target is a local low. Trading thoughts and trading set ups on Discord have the analyst saying it might be choppier than expected. Other crypto assets are considered with details on each. A target price and failure point is inferred. On his stock pick of Silver they believe an all time high will be established. These predictions come in advance of a potentially volatile event on Wednesday.

Original Caption

#btc #bitcoin #eth #ethereum #trading #technicalanalysis #bitcoinlive Trade with a 30% fee discount on Bitunix using our referral: https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=Qriptal Get access to our imbalance indicator: https://www.qriptal.com/

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal