Prediction Case File
ADAUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Capital Venture2025-09-15T05:17:45long_termtechnical
Live Outcome
-44.43%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.8998
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
3.6
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.5
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.94
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
300.09%
Initial Invalidation Distance
44.43%
Risk / Reward
6.75
Timeframe
Long Term
Live Position
-44.43%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-15T05:17:45
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
615.7h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Capital Venture
YouTube · @CryptoCapitalVenture
Reliability
34.57
Success Rate
15.84%
Consistency
82.6
Risk Adjusted
-29.55
Avg Return
-13.74%
Avg Quality
3.48
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
7gatfEjavn4
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis compares the current risk score of Cardano (ADA) to that of the previous bull market cycle, noting the present price of 94 cents against the 10 cents at the start of the last cycle. The analyst notes that the coin has the potential to reach a target of $3.60 based on a market cap analysis. The analysis suggests the coin is poised for a bull market, the price must not break the 50 cents price.

Original Caption

Track risk models, plan exits, and stay ahead! 40% OFF https://app.cryptocapitalventure.ai Cardano this cycle compared to Cardano last cycle at the beginning of the bull market.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal