Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2025-09-12T15:58:18monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-6.65%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
385.85998535
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
522.49
Predicted objective
Invalidation
360.21
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
368.81
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
35.41%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.65%
Risk / Reward
5.33
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-6.65%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-12T15:58:18
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-04-02T04:00:00
Resolved At
2026-04-02T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-04-02T04:00:00
Max High
385.85998535
Max High At
-
Min Low
385.85998535
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
4,836.02h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33%
Consistency
89.81
Risk Adjusted
-4.3
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
nf8iGlm6Ht0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on TSLA, predicting a potential long-term buy signal if the price holds above $360.21 at today's close, with a target of $522.49 within the next 5 to 8 months. A shorter-term target of $426.11 is set for the next 2 to 3 months. Near-term resistance is expected at $376.33, potentially leading to topping out for the day. If the price eases back but closes above $360.21, $426.11 is the target. A close at or below $360.21 invalidates the buy signal, suggesting lower trades into October, with a realistic 1 to 2-week objective at $321.61. Yesterday's low of $347.60 is considered a pivot point for intraday and early next week trading. Closing below $347.60 makes $335.34 likely on Monday. If the stock closes the week itself below $360.21 it will invalidate the analysis.

Original Caption

Buy strength only if above $360.21 into the close. Near-term target is $376.33, and if broken, a swing move toward $393.51. If below $360.21, step aside or lean bearish. $347.60 is the next pivot.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal