Prediction Case File
OPENstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2025-09-12T04:02:03dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-23.63%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
10.47500038
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
11.27
Predicted objective
Invalidation
8
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
10.52
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
7.59%
Initial Invalidation Distance
23.63%
Risk / Reward
0.32
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-23.63%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-12T04:02:03
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-23T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-09-23T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-23T13:30:00
Max High
10.86999989
Max High At
-
Min Low
7.32000017
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
273.45h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.5
Success Rate
39.84%
Consistency
88.44
Risk Adjusted
-8.26
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
mOGGfWJKwAU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on OPEN stock, which experienced a 78% increase due to leadership changes and a $40 million investment. The stock broke through price targets of $6.42 and $8.00, reaching close to $11.20. On the monthly chart, the analysis suggests room for further upward movement from the IPO range. The weekly chart indicates high volatility, with increased volume. It is also stated that it struggled to overcome the $5 level for around three years. If it breaks $11.27 it could move towards $15. For short-term traders, patience is advised given the volatility. A pullback is possible, but long-term investors can feel good as a long term hold.

Original Caption

Using Technical Analysis, we analyzed Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) stock and predicted where price would go within the next few days to weeks. If you found value from this video, consider subscribing for more! Comment your $OPEN price predictions below and any other stocks that you would like me to cover! Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor #openstock #stockmarketanalysis #technicalanalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal