Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wolves of Crypto2025-09-11T10:37:33weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-11.8%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
4,421.83
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
5,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,900
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
4,413
Original Analyst Trend
Range
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
13.08%
Initial Invalidation Distance
11.8%
Risk / Reward
1.11
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-11.8%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-11T10:37:33
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-25T17:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-25T17:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-25T17:00:00
Max High
4,769.36
Max High At
-
Min Low
3,815
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
342.37h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wolves of Crypto
YouTube · @WolvesOfCrypto_
Reliability
49.12
Success Rate
36.57%
Consistency
86.92
Risk Adjusted
-17.48
Avg Return
-2.45%
Avg Quality
3.52
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
6IBH-cGRT6A
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin, referencing a recent triangle breakout at approximately 113500, supported by increased volume following a bullish PPI release. The fate of Bitcoin's local move depends on CPI and unemployment claims data. A key support level to hold is 107000, coinciding with the bull market support band. Breaking below this level could signal a macro downward trend. Upside target is set at 118000, aligning with the volume profile's point of control. For Ethereum, it's waiting for a signal while it is compressing downwards. ETH/BTC pair could have a possible bounce over the support. It is mentioned that Weekly MACD is bearish.

Original Caption

Topic Overview 0:00-1:20 The Bitunix Exchange 1:20-2:07 Bitcoin Analysis 2:07-10:40 The Bitunix Exchange 10:40-11:19 Bitunix Exchange Referral Link (Referral Code: 543w) - NON KYC - Lifelong 15% Fee Discount - Up To $8000 In Rewards: https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=543w Telegram Community Group Chat: https://t.me/+TD-btyDvq0xjOWU1 The Crypto Academy Website: https://www.thecryptoacademy.courses/ Business Inquiries Contact: wolvesofcryptocontact@gmail.com LEGAL DISCLAIMER: It is worth noting that this video, as with all Wolves Of Crypto content, is a representation of my personal opinions on the market and should in no way be considered direct financial advice in any form. I am not responsible for your investment decisions or outcomes, analyze the charts for yourself before proceeding with a trade. This applies to every investment decision in cryptocurrency, stock market and any financial market - including investment decisions directly related to Bitcoin BTC, Ethereum ETH & any other altcoin. This also applies regardless of the wording that I use in my content such as phrases like "you should do x" and "I suggest you do y".

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal