Prediction Case File
USDT.DcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Altcoin Doctor2025-09-09T17:05:32weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.7%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
4.29125235
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
3
Predicted objective
Invalidation
4.45
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
4.44
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
30.09%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.7%
Risk / Reward
8.13
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-3.7%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-09T17:05:32
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Resolved Candle
2025-09-25T17:00:00
Max High
4.45551922
Max High At
2025-09-25T17:00:00
Min Low
4.06758791
Min Low At
2025-09-18T19:00:00
Time To Result
6,032.4h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Altcoin Doctor
YouTube · @AltcoinDoctor
Reliability
31.37
Success Rate
11.31%
Consistency
80.58
Risk Adjusted
-32.59
Avg Return
-15.41%
Avg Quality
3.45
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
ApdulEuLlc0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis evaluates realistic price predictions for altcoins, using AXSUSDT as an example with Fibonacci retracement levels. It identifies three potential targets for AXSUSDT: $24.779, $39.538 and $65.246. The analysis uses a failure bound of $1.993 if this happen the analysis will be invalidate. These targets are set assuming a bullish trend during the upcoming altcoin season, the actual market trend is bearish. The analyst provides analysis showing that the Bitcoin dominance is falling, but the dominance might pull back to trigger another high but if it continue dropping a altcoin season will begin with altcoins pumping. The USDT dominance index and TOTAL/TOTAL2 cryptocurrency market cap charts help determine the overall direction and trend of the cryptocurrency market.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal