Prediction Case File
XHBstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Felix & Friends (Goat Academy)2025-09-06T17:00:06dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.64%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
119.34999847
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
125
Predicted objective
Invalidation
115
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
119.36
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
4.73%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.64%
Risk / Reward
1.3
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-3.64%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-06T17:00:06
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-15T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-09-15T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-15T13:30:00
Max High
119.66999817
Max High At
-
Min Low
114.55000305
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
212.48h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Felix & Friends (Goat Academy)
YouTube · @FelixFriends
Reliability
67.24
Success Rate
62.29%
Consistency
85.06
Risk Adjusted
-2.07
Avg Return
3.95%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
FQpIwkcL7WA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The presenter analyzes the stock charts of several financial instruments using support and resistance levels. NVDA has broken below institutional support at $167.50, leading the presenter to expect a downturn to $140. While the Nasdaq has not declined sharply, the presenter believes that as the leading constituent, it will cause the Nasdaq to drop. The presenter suggests looking at the Gold ETF. Homebuilders are discussed as a possible buy with the fall in interest rates. Finally, the presenter describes SoFi and its limited opportunities and its recent breakdown below the 50 day moving average.

Original Caption

Join the Live Training! Learn to Invest at the Top of the Market: https://felixfriends.org/training Meet Felix Prehn: I'm your host, Felix Prehn. My journey took me from being a novice investor to an investment banker, a corporate lawyer, and an entrepreneur. Investing was my key to early retirement at 40. My goal? To empower YOU to navigate the financial market with ease and transparency, free from the conventional financial system's noise. Let's embark on this journey to financial freedom together! ️This is from my lovely lawyers: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute and should not be construed as financial or investment advice or an offer to purchase or sell securities. The content is not personalized or tailored to a specific person or group of persons, nor to their personal investment or financial needs. You should consult a financial adviser or other investment professional authorized to provide investment advice. Investing comes with risks, including the risk of loss. Presentations of trades made by Felix Prehn or Goat Academy Ltd or its personnel are not a guarantee that any investment decision made by a student will be successful. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Some of the accounts we highlight from time to time are our top performing accounts and the results shown are not typical. Trades shown may be from simulated trading or live trading accounts. *CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:15 NVIDIA Stock 00:51 NASDAQ Stock 03:11 Gold Stock 04:47 Toll Brothers Stock 06:07 Palantir Stock 08:08 SoFi Stock Stock 09:33 ARK Innovation ETF 10:24 Archer Aviation Stock 10:54 Google Stock 11:37 Apple Stock 11:57 Tesla Stock 13:37 Advanced Micro Devices Stock 13:47 United Healthcare Stock 14:25 Amazon Stock 15:05 D.R Horton Inc Stock #felixprehn #nvidia #palantir

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal