Prediction Case File
NVDAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Money & Charts2025-09-06T14:00:06dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-10.54%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
167.03999329
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
157.35
Predicted objective
Invalidation
184.64
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
168.25
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
5.8%
Initial Invalidation Distance
10.54%
Risk / Reward
0.55
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-10.54%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-06T14:00:06
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-30T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-09-30T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-30T13:30:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
575.48h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Money & Charts
YouTube · @moneyandcharts
Reliability
53.66
Success Rate
42.52%
Consistency
92.98
Risk Adjusted
-4.08
Avg Return
-0.29%
Avg Quality
3.9
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
3kH2-545XiI
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video presents a technical analysis of several stocks. Hermes has completed a cup and handle top, with a textbook target of 1239.50, support at 1895 and 1639. Coreweave is technically bearish after completing a cup and handle top, with a target of 14.68, support at 64.31 and 35.19. Nvidia appears to have completed a head and shoulders top, neckline at 170.89, textbook target at 157.35, a rebound above 184.64 will invalidate this bearish pattern. Microsoft has completed a head and shoulders top, neckline at 500.70 with a textbook target is at 446.18 and support at 472.68. AMD also completed a head and shoulders top, neckline at 158.25, textbook target at 130.11, support at 147.63. Standard Chartered is forming a cup and handle top, a close below support at 1285 will complete the bearish pattern and a target at 1138 alternatively rising above 1420.50 will invalidate this bearish pattern. SAP is forming a cup and handle top with the support at 209.10, the target is 130.38, rising above 273.50 invalidates bearish pattern. Adidas completed a cup and handle bottom, target at 186.30.

Original Caption

#technicalanalysis #stocks #stockmarket #equities #nvidia #microsoft #amd #hermes #standardchartered #outlook This video is the weekly Technical Analysis Outlook that provides an outlook of currencies (foreign exchange) and equities (stocks) based on technical analysis. The first part of this video will be reviews of the names I covered in past videos, followed by a few names that I will cover and review in futures. Towards the end of this video will be names that I will cease coverage in. I have put in timestamps in the description, please use them to jump to names that interest you. TIME STAMPS Disclaimer: 00:12 REVIEW Hermes: 00:50 Coreweave: 01:45 NEW COVERAGE Nvidia: 02:19 Microsoft: 03:16 AMD: 03:38 Standard Chartered: 04:06 SAP: 04:39 Adidas: 05:18 CEASE COVERAGE Alibaba: 06:21 Alphabet: 06:36 -- About This Channel -- Welcome to Money & Charts I am a Technical Analyst (Chartist) with more than 13 years of experience in banking and finance. On this channel, I will create content related to stocks, currencies, and financial trends. Whether you're into investing or looking to expand your knowledge, I hope that my videos offer practical insights and perspectives to you. Stocks | Currencies | Market Insights | Financial Trends Subscribe now and stay ahead of the curve with Money & Charts!

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal