Prediction Case File
PENGUUSDTcryptobullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

More Crypto Online2025-08-31T23:14:28intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
19.23%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
0.029356
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.035
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.025
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.0296
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
19.23%
Initial Invalidation Distance
14.84%
Risk / Reward
1.3
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
19.23%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
40%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-31T23:14:28
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-09T05:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-09T05:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-09T05:00:00
Max High
0.035581
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.027587
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
197.75h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

More Crypto Online
YouTube · @morecryptoonline
Reliability
46.91
Success Rate
33.38%
Consistency
84.67
Risk Adjusted
-14.78
Avg Return
-4.51%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
9hSZKGYB2mU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis is on PENGU/USDT using a 1-hour timeframe. The presenter identifies a potential impulsive move from the June low, marking waves 1, 2, and 3. A fourth wave is in progress, characteristic of long, extended periods, typical for meme coins. Support is holding at around 2.5 cents but the price broke below previous swing lows over Friday/Saturday. The presenter mentions a trendline, and the price action appears to be in a support zone without a strong reversal confirmation. The move up after the August 20 low was a three-wave move. The structure resembles a WXY pattern, common in crypto corrections, extending due to Bitcoin's influence. The analysis watches for a C wave to complete, although it could drop to 2.5 cents. A break above the trendline around 3.4 to 3.5 cents is needed for confirmation of a bottom. Five waves are identified in wave C, but there is no confirmation. Without a five-wave move up, a significant low is questionable.

Original Caption

Join the Morecryptoonline Crypto Service https://www.mcoglobal.com/subscriptions Voucher code: GOLDSUB PENGU Goes Parabolic – Elliott Wave Setup Playing Out on Pudgy Penguins - Technical Analysis ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MCO Global: https://www.mcoglobal.com/ ️ Join the FREE Newsletter: https://mcoglobal.com/newsletter/ Join the Morecryptoonline Crypto Service https://www.mcoglobal.com/subscriptions OR https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCngIhBkikUe6e7tZTjpKK7Q/join OR https://www.patreon.com/morecryptoonline Join the S&P500 & Stocks Service https://www.patreon.com/moretradingonline Subscribe for Free to More Trading Online: https://www.youtube.com/@moretradingonline Subscribe for Free to More Forex Online: https://www.youtube.com/@MoreForexOnline ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Social Media: WhatsApp News & Updates: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaZ0h5B3mFYBkWRWCY0K X / Twitter: https://x.com/Morecryptoonl Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/morecryptoonline_official/ Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/MCOGlobal/ Facebook: https://facebook.com/morecryptoonline Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/more-crypto-online/ Tiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@more_crypto_online All MCO Global Links: https://linktr.ee/morecryptoonline ️ In case of questions just reach out to us: info@morecryptoonline.com ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Exchanges / Products (Affiliate Links): Trade on Bybit: https://partner.bybit.com/b/MCO Bitget: Trade with Bitget: https://partner.bitget.com/bg/MoreCryptoOnline TradingView: https://bit.ly/Crypto_Tradingview Trade on Coinbase: https://bit.ly/MCOinbase Trade on Kucoin: Receive a 20% fee discount: https://www.kucoin.com/r/af/QBSSSL4T Trade with eToro: https://etoro.tw/3oFUKCk Trade with Trading212: Receive shares worth up to $100: https://bit.ly/Trading212MCO Protect your cryptocurrencies with Trezor: https://bit.ly/morecryptoonline Protect your cryptocurrencies with Ledger: https://shop.ledger.com/?r=0fb3c8be2e46 Stay safe with NordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/SH4s0

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal