Prediction Case File
POLUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Cilinix Crypto2025-08-31T13:27:12dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-14.95%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.2822
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.3
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.24
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.2791
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
6.31%
Initial Invalidation Distance
14.95%
Risk / Reward
0.42
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-14.95%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-31T13:27:12
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-22T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-22T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-22T00:00:00
Max High
0.2964
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.2359
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
514.53h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Cilinix Crypto
YouTube · @CilinixCrypto
Reliability
54.72
Success Rate
44.42%
Consistency
90.96
Risk Adjusted
-4.84
Avg Return
-0.56%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
hjem5-jXUkc
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Polygon (POL) against USDT. The presenter notes how Polygon has been compressing against resistance since March, and this consolidation, amid bearish pressures elsewhere, is a positive sign. Although fundamental reasons for a bullish outlook are not obvious, the presenter sees several key points. The volume is high, with leveraged volume over 10 million in the last hour. The presenter infers a real break out, targeting 30 cents initially, with a subsequent aim for 35 to 37 cents. He identified the initial target at 30 cents and the 38.2% Fibonacci level as a potential barrier.

Original Caption

POLYGON POL PRICE PREDICTION 2025 Join the Signal group for Great Trades & becoming Profitable! https://www.patreon.com/cilinixcrypto https://discord.gg/yQbebHvNea (In the Signals Entry channel) https://t.me/cilinixcryptogroup (In the Group Bio) https://www.cilinix.com/#/ ️Register on Blofin now for the Lowest Fees & Cash Bonuses https://partner.blofin.com/d/CilinixCrypto Signal Group Reviews https://www.trustpilot.com/review/cilinix.com ️ Social links! www.cilinix.com https://twitter.com/cilinixcrypto cilinixfxcapital@gmail.com @CilinixCrypto Disclaimer: This video is not financial advice and it is not intended to be. This video is for informational and educational purposes only and does not provide advice in any type of way.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal