Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Coinsider2025-08-29T18:43:05monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-18.83%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
4,311.82
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
5,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,500
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
4,337.37
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
15.96%
Initial Invalidation Distance
18.83%
Risk / Reward
0.85
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-18.83%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-29T18:43:05
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Max High
4,769.36
Max High At
-
Min Low
3,435
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,010.27h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Coinsider
YouTube · @Coinsider
Reliability
40.56
Success Rate
27.42%
Consistency
83.36
Risk Adjusted
-11.81
Avg Return
-2%
Avg Quality
3.24
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
bHiR6qji0KU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst mentions a few tokens that he likes to buy. First, ETH, mentions that ETH price will reach 5k from current price of 4337. HYPE price can reach 50 from current price of 44. Finally, AERO is the best choice. He mentions OKB with high pump because there was a burn event. The expert plan in 3Commas gives backtesting tools. He wants 100 likes in the stream.

Original Caption

Today let's take a look at some potential coins I'd be interested in buying if the market drops further. I'll also take a look at your picks as well so please drop them in the chat. Join Bybit's Trading competition with 3Commas: https://bit.ly/45GKLEs Sign up for Backtesting webinar: https://bit.ly/4fIZjGG Get the $1 First Month deal: https://3commas.io/?utm_source=referral&utm_medium=cabinet&c=coinsider #Crypto #Altcoins #Market #Ethereum

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal