Prediction Case File
AAPLstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2025-08-27T16:50:29dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.98%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
230.44000244
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
214
Predicted objective
Invalidation
235
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
229.31
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
7.13%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.98%
Risk / Reward
3.61
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-1.98%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-27T16:50:29
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-03T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-09-03T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-03T13:30:00
Max High
237.97000122
Max High At
-
Min Low
226.97000122
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
164.65h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.03
Success Rate
44.96%
Consistency
92.21
Risk Adjusted
-1.82
Avg Return
0.8%
Avg Quality
3.55
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
Xm4YjJ97GgI
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis covers multiple markets. For Nasdaq (MNQ1!), a near target of 21797 is expected but could have a failure bound of 21300. S&P 500 (MESI1) target is 6490, with a failure bound of 6440. Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) target is 112000 with a failure price of 110000; Ethereum's (ETHUSDT) target is 4780. NVDA does not have a target mentioned. TLT is in a buy zone. SPX will have multiple gaps filled so there will be opportunities to buy cheaper. For MSFT there will be down to the levels of around 497 and 492, then for CROWD may come back to 368. For Natural Gas 7 count buy signal is a sign that indicates there is a rally. It's important to be aware of the influence of NVIDIA's earnings and the potential for increased volatility in September and also the Dollar will put pressure to Gold to go lower.

Original Caption

Click Youtube channel link below to Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCruE6nggpVnCYclIPxATeVA/join If you like video please donate : https://paypal.me/linktoharry?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US Free Chat Discord Server Link: https://discord.gg/8CxCNXWqjn Join Twitter / X ID : harmynder I use Crypto.com app to buy crypto : Use my referral link https://crypto.com/app/yk7nspbdad to sign up for Crypto.com and we both get $25 USD. TradingView Referral Link : https://www.tradingview.com/gopro/?share_your_love=harmynder These video's are for education only, Invest at your own risk, not a financial advise #fomc #stockmarket #daytrading #stockmarketanalysis #optionstrading #tradeideas #technicalanalysis #stockmarketcrash #us500 #mes #mnq #spx #emini #spy #us100 #ndx #qqq #us30 #dji #us2000 #iwm #russell2000 #vix #bitcoin #ethereum #btc #btcusd #eth #ethusd #crypto #cryptocurrency #gold #gc #silver #dollar #dxy #crudeoil #oil #cl #naturalgas #ng #ung #crwd #tesla #tsla #apple #appl #msft #amd #nvda #meta #nflx #amd #now #avgo #xlc #xle #xlu #xlv #xlk #xli #xlf #gdx #gdxu #gdxj #sugar #cane #corn #wheat #weat #soyabean #soyb #commodity #tqqq #sqqq #fngu #fngd #bulz #soxl #soxs #qqu #qqd #viral #viralvideo #viralshorts #nasdaq #sp500

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal