Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

JayWave2025-08-29T17:33:48dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.43%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
108,460.64
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
120,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
107,999
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
108,000
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
10.64%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.43%
Risk / Reward
25
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-0.43%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-29T17:33:48
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-29T19:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-29T19:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-29T19:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1.43h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

JayWave
YouTube · @JayWaveOfficial
Reliability
52.08
Success Rate
40.99%
Consistency
91.2
Risk Adjusted
-7.34
Avg Return
-1.6%
Avg Quality
3.39
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
QzxcacJxXuc
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's order book, highlighting a light support level at 108,000. Resistance is noted at 120,000. New placements are expected to occur after midday and the direction will depend on the new trends. Overall analysis suggests that there is a bearish momentum. The current market trend is bearish.

Original Caption

Bitcoin Orderbook: Support bei 108.000$, Widerstand bei 120.000$! In diesem JayWave Trading Kurzvideo analysiere ich das Bitcoin-Orderbook! Leichter Support bei 108.000$, starker Widerstand bei 120.000$. Neue Wetten nach dem Mittag könnten die Richtung bestimmen – aktuell leicht bärisches Momentum. Bleibt dran! Like, kommentiere und folge für mehr! Folge für tägliche Trading-Tipps: JayWave Trading Social Media: Telegram Gruppe: https://t.me/SwissCryptoJay_JoinBot YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/c/SwissCryptoJay/featured X (ehemals Twitter): https://x.com/swisscryptojay1 Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/swisscryptojay/?hl=de Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=61560279765524&locale=de_DE #Bitcoin #BTC #Krypto #Trading #Daytrading #Scalping #Futures #Investmens #OnChain #Marktanalyse #Risikomanagement #Altcoinanalyse #strategie, Widerstand bei 120.000$!

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal