Prediction Case File
CRWDstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Long Term Mindset2025-08-28T03:16:02monthlyfundamental
Live Outcome
-1.8%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
422.58999634
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
471.3
Predicted objective
Invalidation
415
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
422
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
11.53%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.8%
Risk / Reward
6.42
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-1.8%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality72.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-28T03:16:02
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-28T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-08-28T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-28T13:30:00
Max High
434.95001221
Max High At
-
Min Low
409.25009155
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
10.22h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Long Term Mindset
YouTube · @BrianFeroldiYT
Reliability
52.97
Success Rate
50%
Consistency
90.49
Risk Adjusted
-4.27
Avg Return
0.54%
Avg Quality
3.82
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
jbvPT88IQAA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Crowdstrike's Q2 2025 earnings report, highlighting revenue growth of 21% year-over-year to $1.169 billion. The analyst estimates that the stock beat analyst expectations and midpoint of management guidance. Earnings per share are up +390% year over year to $0.93 on a non-GAAP basis. Gross margins were down on a GAAP basis and operating and net margins saw significant losses. Free cash flow is up year over year and they have 4B net cash. The forward guidance expects a revenue reacceleration. Net new ARR is expected to grow 40% in the back end of the year. Subscription gross margins fell 120 BPS. Professional services are not important but subscription services are important. To justify today's price, revenue needs to grow 23-24% each year.

Original Caption

▼ Try Finchat for FREE ▼ https://fiscal.ai/brian — Our favorite stock research tool https://longtermmindset.co/adapt — Brian Stoffel's Infographic eBook ▼ Shop Our Store! ▼ https://longtermmindset.co/store — Browse Our Store ▼ABOUT US:▼ ‍Brian Feroldi is an author (https://amzn.to/3JVr9Q0), investor, YouTuber, and financial educator. He's been investing in the stock market since 2004. Brian likes to buy and hold the highest quality companies he can find. ‍Brian Stoffel is a writer, investor, YouTuber, and financial educator. He's a teacher at heart. Brian has been investing for over a decade and has written over 4,000 articles for The Motley Fool. Brian plans his life and his investments around “antifragile” principles. ️ Disclaimer: ️ This content is for educational, illustrative, and entertainment purposes only. Nothing in this video should be considered financial advice, a recommendation, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Investing involves risk, including the risk of losing your principal. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research. If you need personalized advice, consult a licensed financial, legal, or tax professional. The opinions shared are my own as of the recording date and may change without notice. I do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of any information shared. By watching this video, you agree not to hold me or any guest liable for decisions made based on this content. Some links included may be affiliate links, which means I may earn a commission if you use them, at no extra cost to you. I only recommend products I believe in.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal