Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Discover Crypto2025-08-21T22:13:05intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
9.4%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
112,634.34
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
123,227
Predicted objective
Invalidation
107,180
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
112,384.69
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
9.4%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.84%
Risk / Reward
1.94
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
9.4%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
60%
Actionable
40%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate40.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality52.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-21T22:13:05
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-03T16:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-03T16:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-03T16:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,025.77h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Discover Crypto
YouTube · @DiscoverCrypto_
Reliability
42.91
Success Rate
28.12%
Consistency
76.69
Risk Adjusted
-14.96
Avg Return
-4.66%
Avg Quality
3.23
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
McTPc3PSVhA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst notes Bitcoin is dipping, but he maintains high spirits and welcomes viewers to the show. He mentions that the price falling to $112,300. He identifies a resistance level and talks about a tokenizing of the show. He mentions he is looking to be following me on X.  He goes on to show the current bitcoin price at $112,384, a decrease of 1.49%. A graph is showing the bit coin trends over the past several days or so, it is dropping and it is falling hard. He says that were just said a new lower low a bit a crazy day. The analysis predicts an attempt to hold in a tight range the new and local area.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal