Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Krown2025-08-19T18:20:56weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
0.21%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
113,349.99
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
113,110
Predicted objective
Invalidation
124,210
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
115,755
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
0.21%
Initial Invalidation Distance
9.58%
Risk / Reward
0.02
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
0.21%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-19T18:20:56
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-19T19:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-19T19:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-19T19:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
0.65h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Krown
YouTube · @ECKrown
Reliability
55.22
Success Rate
45.33%
Consistency
90.28
Risk Adjusted
-4.26
Avg Return
-0.22%
Avg Quality
3.5
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
HTUdreGS3WI
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst discusses Bitcoin's sideways movement, analyzing both higher and short-term time frames. Daily price statistics show Tuesdays having roughly a coin flip probability of closing positively since 2023. Yesterday and today Bitcoin followed its average percent loss tendency. The analysts highlights key levels: if it breaks 114250 daily, it will come down to the bottom of the range. Currently, daily green 55 EMA is a common area to bounce off. In early August, this area found its low, making it a powerful region. RSI loses exponential control potentially entering a bear critical zone, which would lead to consolidation to 100k.

Original Caption

Join us for some in-depth **crypto** market analysis and **live trading** insights. We'll be covering the latest **bitcoin news** and discussing potential **trading strategy** adjustments. Tune in for real-time **technical analysis** and market updates. 🟧ByBit (Inverse Perps & High Liquidity)https://partner.bybit.com/b/Cave 🟦Bitunix (No KYC & 33% Fee Discount)https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=Discount33 ⬛BloFin (No KYC & 15% discount) https://partner.blofin.com/d/Reduction All Educational Products & Indicators https://krown-trading.teachable.com/ ️ META SIGNALShttps://metasignals.io/nft Use code KROWN for 10% off FOREVER. ️Cave Discord Trading Community - https://discord.gg/3PJDRbYw44 #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto Bitcoin,bitcoin,btc,BTC,bitcoin price,btc price,bitcoin price prediction,btc analysis,bitcoin analysis,bitcoin news,when to buy btc,when to buy crypto,bitcoin bull market,bitcoin ta,when buy btc,crypto analysis,bitcoin technical analysis,btc technical analysis,crypto,live trading,crypto trading,crypto news,altcoin,bitcoin technical analysis today,trading crypto,bitcoin today,xrp today,btc prediction,crypto news today,altcoins,bitcoin price target Disclaimer Please understand that leverage trading is very risky and around 80% of people who leverage trade have a net loss over a long time frame. Do not trade on any exchange that prohibits trading from your geographical region. The content in this video are only intended for entertainment purposes only. Please do your own due diligence when making decisions for yourself.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal