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BTCUSDT
Short Entry 95,041.9000 2026-01-18 03:01 UTC
Target 74,198.4000 Fail 101,197.0000
Risk/Reward 1 : 3
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BTCUSDT
Cryptocurrency
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The Bitcoin market on the daily chart is currently demonstrating resistance within the 92,796.53 to 101,197.35 range, a zone established in November. The price remains beneath the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at 96,908.14. A sustained rejection from this resistance is a precursor to a potential fifth wave down, targeting between 74,198.39 and 68,224.11. Confirmation of this bearish impulse on the daily timeframe requires a break below the January 8th swing low, approximated at 89,250, with a more robust confirmation observed below the December 18th low. On shorter timeframes, micro support is noted between 93,949.31 and 94,889.57, with a narrower support band from 94,528.80 to 95,071.23. The market's current sideways movement over the weekend respects these micro levels. The immediate bullish resistance stands at 95,817.16. While a short-term bullish surge towards 98,400 is plausible if 93,949.31 holds and 95,817.16 is breached, the overarching expectation is a continuation of the downward trajectory. A confirmed bullish reversal necessitates a clear five-wave impulse, which is not yet present.
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