@CryptoJebb
YouTube
Avg. Quality
74
Success Rate
14.61
Analysis
89
Correct
13
Fail
66
Pending
9
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
BTCUSDT
Long Entry
91,068.9000
2026-01-07
20:46 UTC
Target
100,000.0000
Fail
88,000.0000
Risk/Reward
1 : 3
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The analysis centers on Bitcoin's daily chart, identifying a recent breakout from a downtrend. Current price is around $91,500. While an initial Elliott Wave analysis for a bullish A-B-C bounce was technically invalidated due to specific rule breaches, the overall sentiment points towards a rally. This sentiment is reinforced by observed 'underside, overside test' patterns on the 50-moving average, which historically precede parabolic rallies, and the recent narrowing of Bollinger Bands signaling high impending volatility. For MSTR stock, currently at $165, bullish RSI divergence is noted against a prevailing downtrend. Positive news from MSCI regarding new share issuances for digital asset treasury firms is viewed as a favorable factor, potentially increasing Strategy's scarcity. A 'flywheel effect' is anticipated, where MSTR's rally could correlate with Bitcoin's. The combined indicators, including significant Bitcoin ETF inflows, suggest a bullish short-term outlook for Bitcoin. A potential long entry for Bitcoin is suggested around the 50-moving average, aiming for a target of $100,000 with a stop-loss at $88,000. However, a valid bearish Elliott Wave scenario remains a possibility, potentially driving prices down to $75,000 or $60,000 if key resistance levels around $103,000 are not surpassed.