@Savvymindsconnect
YouTube
Avg. Quality
68
Success Rate
13.38
Analysis
157
Correct
21
Fail
92
Pending
44
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
ETHUSDT
Long Entry
3,105.3000
2025-12-09
05:29 UTC
Target
4,000.0000
Fail
2,500.0000
Risk/Reward
1 : 1
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The analysis posits that the traditional four-year Bitcoin cycle is no longer a relevant driver. Instead, the market's trajectory is now primarily influenced by liquidity, broader macroeconomic conditions, and the selling behavior of long-term Bitcoin holders. The annual Bitcoin supply inflation rate is now below 1%, a rate lower than gold, suggesting a maturing asset. Major institutional interest, including potential sovereign buying mentioned by BlackRock, is anticipated to be a multi-year factor. A new all-time high for Bitcoin is projected by 2026. For MicroStrategy, the strategy of holding Bitcoin is deemed sound, having historically outperformed both the general market and Bitcoin itself since August 2020, despite recent volatility. While acknowledging a rough 2022, the low debt-to-equity ratio and non-callable leveraged Bitcoin exposure are considered favorable. For Ethereum, a similar long-term upward trajectory as Bitcoin is expected, with entities likely adopting comparable strategies. The speaker differentiates Bitcoin as a treasury asset and other cryptocurrencies as trading assets. The overall outlook suggests that moderate interest rates will prevail, not returning to ultra-low levels, which may shift market demand towards companies with uncorrelated cash flows or those able to strategically deploy retained earnings into assets like Bitcoin, rather than solely relying on leveraged crypto exposure. The market is seen as undergoing a natural 'washout' of less differentiated altcoins and tertiary Bitcoin plays, favoring larger, more liquid assets and well-structured companies.