@CryptoGooss
YouTube
Avg. Quality
72
Success Rate
29.48
Analysis
407
Correct
120
Fail
246
Pending
39
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
ETHUSDT
Long Entry
3,351.2600
2026-01-15
15:15 UTC
Target
3,600.0000
Fail
3,100.0000
Risk/Reward
1 : 1
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The analysis initiates by identifying a recurring pattern in Bitcoin's Bitfinex longs on a weekly timeframe. Historically, a weekly close of these longs beneath a specific moving average trendline has preceded significant upward price movements in Bitcoin. This signal is currently confirming, suggesting an impending continuation of Bitcoin's price appreciation. However, a contrasting perspective is introduced through the lens of Bitcoin's performance in mid-term years, specifically concerning its interaction with the 50-period simple moving average on a weekly chart. In prior mid-term cycles, Bitcoin typically captures liquidity above this moving average before reverting downwards. Should Bitcoin break and sustain above this 50-period moving average, it would signify a divergence from the historical four-year cycle pattern. Further technical analysis on a daily timeframe highlights a confirmed breakout above a significant resistance level, currently around 94,000. This breakout is anticipated to be followed by a retest of this level, establishing it as support before a subsequent upward move. The MACD indicator on the 5-day timeframe has also shown a bullish crossover, with positive momentum, historically preceding upward movements. While previous MACD signals have led to substantial rallies, a more conservative upward trajectory of approximately 10% from the current price, targeting around 106,700, is predicted before encountering resistance near the weekly 50-period moving average. Subsequently, a short position is suggested from the 105,000-110,000 resistance zone, with an anticipated bearish movement towards the 78,000 support level, aligning with the mid-term bearish cycle expectation. For Ethereum, on a daily timeframe, the price action is showing signs of breaking out of its consolidation range. Supported by strong on-chain metrics, including record network activity and all-time high staking levels, Ethereum is perceived as undervalued and is expected to follow Bitcoin's upward momentum, targeting approximately 3,600.