@Crypto-Kid

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Analysis

248
Correct
53
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165
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BTCUSDT
Short Entry 90,636.8000 2025-12-11 19:05 UTC
Target 65,000.0000 Fail 95,000.0000
Risk/Reward 1 : 6
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BTCUSDT
Cryptocurrency
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The analysis begins by highlighting Bitcoin's short-term outlook, noting its current position around $90,000. A bear flag pattern on the chart suggests an imminent downward movement, with a predicted drop below $70,000, specifically targeting $65,000. This bearish sentiment is reinforced by recent FOMC events, six out of seven of which have led to negative market reactions. A potential upside to the $107,000 area is acknowledged, but only after an initial downturn. The analysis considers a move above $95,000 as invalidating the short-term bearish forecast for Bitcoin. The discussion then shifts to the fundamental definition of money, contrasting transient fiat currencies with assets that retain value over time. Bitcoin is presented as a superior form of money due to its fixed supply of 21 million units, unlike traditional precious metals such as gold, which can be further mined, and its value is prone to dollar debasement. Silver is identified as a significant long-term investment opportunity. The current price of silver is indicated around $60 per ounce, having recently broken above a long-term macro cup and handle pattern. Historical data shows that silver has been massively suppressed and underperforming compared to gold, real estate, and stock markets for the past 40 to 50 years. Given its historical gold-to-silver ratio (approximately 1:10), and gold's recent appreciation, silver is projected for a substantial increase, with a long-term target of $600 per ounce, representing a 10x growth potential. This bullish forecast for silver has a calculated fail bound at $50 per ounce. From a portfolio allocation perspective, the aim is to increase the combined allocation of gold and silver to 5% within the next five years.
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