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Avg. Quality

75

Success Rate

17.22

Analysis

546
Correct
94
Fail
281
Pending
169
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
TTD
Long Entry 37.1300 2026-01-15 03:27 UTC
Target 52.3100 Fail 32.0000
Risk/Reward 1 : 3
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TTD
Stocks
Fundamental
1H
Analysis Predict Bull Market
The analysis focuses on The Trade Desk (TTD), commencing with its historical revenue growth over the past decade. From an approximate $0.1 billion in 2015, TTD's total annual revenue surged to $2.4 billion in the most recent trailing twelve-month period, representing a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 40.6%. However, this growth trajectory is currently decelerating, partly due to competition from Amazon. Wall Street analysts project a continued slowdown in revenue growth, approaching 10% over the next one to two quarters, specifically forecasting 17.7% for September 2025, 13.4% for December 2025, and 11.9% for March 2026. Despite this anticipated near-term deceleration, analysts expect TTD to recover, generating improved revenue growth following this period. Furthermore, the company has demonstrated effective capital management, with its Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) averaging between 27% and 30% over the last decade, at times reaching peaks like 60.6% in 2017 and 56% in 2018, despite a low of 5.2% in 2022. This ROIC consistently exceeds its weighted average cost of capital by more than two times. Based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) model incorporating these projected impacts, the intrinsic value per share is calculated at $52.31. Given the current market price of $37.68, the analysis identifies a significant undervaluation for TTD.
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