Prediction Case File
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The Market Is Much Weaker Than the S&P 500 Suggests | CHART THIS

3 extracted signals · 0 resolved · 3 still active

Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMTIndependent analyst profile
Source published
28 Sept 2026, 21:54 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
29 Sept 2026, 00:50 UTC
Video preview for The Market Is Much Weaker Than the S&P 500 Suggests | CHART THIS
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The market shows a broad weakness with significant drawdowns across major indices like the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow, primarily driven by tech stocks and some financial institutions. While commodities like crude oil and Brent crude are showing strength, precious metals and soft commodities are declining. The market sentiment is bearish, with a significant number of declining stocks compared to advancing ones, indicating a risk-off environment. Weakness in the financial sector, particularly among big banks, is a key concern. The S&P 500 is below its 200-day moving average, and the percentage of stocks above their 50-day and 200-day moving averages are below critical levels, suggesting further downside potential. The RSI is neutral, but the overall trend points towards continued selling pressure. The market is currently in a distribution phase, with key resistance levels to watch.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Tracking Live
Signals
3
Extracted from this source
Open
3
Still being tracked
Successful
0
Resolved successfully
Failed
0
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
—
0 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    3 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. Live evaluation in progress

    3 signals remain active.

Analyst snapshot

Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
56.0
Tracked signals
72
Historical success
48.0%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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