Gold should be $502 right now. It's $4,330. #preciousmetals #basemetals #preciouselements
1 extracted signal · 0 resolved · 1 still active
Looking for Black SwansIndependent analyst profile- Source published
- 24 Sept 2026, 21:17 UTC
- Recorded by Tahlil Plus
- 25 Sept 2026, 00:08 UTC
AI-generated source summary
The analysis presents a historical relationship between Gold (XAUUSD) and US 10-year real yields, indicating a strong correlation (R-squared of 0.86) through 2021. A model based on this data predicted Gold at $457. However, current Gold prices are at $4,385, significantly deviating from the model's prediction. The chart shows Gold's price action from 1998 to 2024, with data points diverging from the historical trend line, especially from 2022 onwards. The analysis suggests that Gold has broken its historical model tied to real yields. A projected peak for Gold is set at $5,589 in January 2026, followed by a potential 22% decrease into September 2026. The current price is shown as 9.6 times above the model's prediction of $457.
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