Prediction Case File
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Why Candlestick Patterns Don’t Always Work | CHART THIS

6 extracted signals · 6 resolved · 0 still active

Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMTIndependent analyst profile
Source published
18 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
18 Sept 2026, 23:11 UTC
Video preview for Why Candlestick Patterns Don’t Always Work | CHART THIS
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The market experienced a mixed day, with major indices opening higher but selling off significantly by midday, only to rally back by the end of the day. The S&P 500 finished slightly positive, while small-cap indices like the S&P 400 and S&P 600 were down. Volatility, as measured by the VIX, remains ultra-low. Bonds sold off, leading to higher yields, with the 10-year yield finishing near 5%. The US dollar was relatively unchanged despite opening stronger. Commodities saw mixed performance, with gold and silver finishing in the upper half of their ranges, while crude oil and natural gas rotated lower. Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies saw a strong rally, with BTC pushing back above $26,000 and ETH gaining over 7%. This bullish momentum in crypto stands in contrast to the broader equity market's struggle to maintain gains. The market's overall trend remains choppy, with large-cap growth stocks outperforming value and core sectors. The failure of broad market indices to sustain early gains suggests underlying weakness, despite some individual sector strength.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Evaluation Complete
Signals
6
Extracted from this source
Open
0
Still being tracked
Successful
1
Resolved successfully
Failed
5
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
16.67%
6 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    6 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  7. Case evaluation completed

    All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

Analyst snapshot

Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
56.1
Tracked signals
102
Historical success
46.3%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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