Prediction Case File
YouTubePartially Resolved

The S&P 500 Bull Flag Just Failed Post Fed | CHART THIS

4 extracted signals · 2 resolved · 2 still active

Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT profile imageMarket Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMTIndependent analyst profile
Source published
17 Sept 2026, 05:23 UTC
Recorded by Tahlil Plus
17 Sept 2026, 08:49 UTC
Video preview for The S&P 500 Bull Flag Just Failed Post Fed | CHART THIS
Source overview

AI-generated source summary

The analysis focuses on the S&P 500 (SPX) breaking below its 200-day moving average, a significant bearish signal indicating potential downside. However, the 50-day moving average is still trending upwards, providing some short-term support. The bullish percent index for the Nasdaq 100 is below 33%, suggesting oversold conditions and a potential for a tactical bounce. The broader market sentiment appears cautious to bearish given the negative breadth indicators across NYSE, Nasdaq, S&P 500, S&P 400, and S&P 600, with declining stocks significantly outnumbering advancing ones. Key sectors like Energy (XLE) and Financials (XLF) are showing weakness, with XLE breaking below its 200-day MA. Tech stocks (XLK) are showing relative strength, attempting to hold support. Overall, while the long-term trend for indices like SPX, QQQ, DIA, and IWM remains technically challenged, the oversold conditions indicated by breadth suggest a potential for a short-term bullish reversal, contingent on holding key support levels.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Live evaluation

Signal outcomes at a glance

Partially Resolved
Signals
4
Extracted from this source
Open
2
Still being tracked
Successful
1
Resolved successfully
Failed
1
Resolved unsuccessfully
Other
0
Cancelled, invalid or excluded
Resolved success
50%
2 resolved; open signals omitted
Extracted intelligence

Signals in this source

Case timeline

Evidence and evaluation progress

  1. Original source published

    The analyst published the original source item.

  2. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

    The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

  3. Market predictions extracted

    4 eligible signals linked to this case.

  4. Source processing completed

    Source analysis and structured extraction completed.

  5. Outcome tracking started

    Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.

  6. First prediction resolved

    The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

  7. Live evaluation in progress

    2 signals remain active.

Analyst snapshot

Market Misbehavior with Dave Keller, CMT

Platform-wide history, separate from this source evaluation.

Reliability
56.0
Tracked signals
72
Historical success
48.0%
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Methodology & disclosure

Tahlil Plus independently records and evaluates public market predictions. Extraction may be AI-assisted and results follow the Tahlil Plus methodology. This information is not financial advice.

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