PlanB bitcoin market outlook July.

AI-generated source summary

Bitcoin closed June a little above $62,000, currently in a boring trading range between $60,000 and $70,000. Bitcoin's price after a halving always lags the model value, it takes 12-18 months before the price gets to the Stock-to-Flow model predictions. We are still in a bull market based on on-chain data. RSI dropped a little but is stable between 60 and 70, currently at 65. The 200-week moving average is at $37,000 and rising. The realized price is at $31,000, and the five-month realized price is at $65,000, serving as a support line in bull markets. Sellers got a 13% return in June. 90% of holders are in profit.

AI-generated summary based on the source content.

Evidence and evaluation progress

1. Original source published

   01 Jul 2024, 19:49 UTC

   The analyst published the original source item.

2. First prediction resolved

   05 Aug 2024, 06:00 UTC

   The first evaluable outcome in this case reached a terminal result.

3. Case evaluation completed

   05 Aug 2024, 06:00 UTC

   All evaluable predictions in this case reached terminal outcomes.

4. Source recorded by Tahlil Plus

   18 May 2026, 20:23 UTC

   The public source was preserved as the evidence record for this case.

5. Market predictions extracted

   18 May 2026, 20:46 UTC

   1 eligible signal linked to this case.

6. Outcome tracking started

   02 Jul 2026, 01:22 UTC

   Tahlil Plus began monitoring the extracted predictions.