@MegaWhaleCrypto

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Avg. Quality

79

Success Rate

19.74

Analysis

76
Correct
15
Fail
46
Pending
15
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
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DXY
Long Entry 99.2810 2026-01-16 06:00 UTC
Target 102.0000 Fail 98.5000
Risk/Reward 1 : 3
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DXY
Pending
Forex
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bull Market
The analysis indicates that Bitcoin's recent price rally is a relief rally, with an anticipated continuation lower. Reviewing historical price action on the 2-week chart, including the Kumo Twist of the RSI, Bull Market Support Band, and 50 EMA, suggests that despite a short-term upward movement, macro trends remain bearish. A breakout from a one-month horizontal consolidation is identified, with a measured move projecting a short-term target for Bitcoin at $105,000. Critical support at $94,500 must hold; a breach below this point could initiate further significant declines. For the DXY, a potential higher low or an inverted Adam and Eve pattern is noted on the 1-week chart. A break above 100 is presented as a key trigger for an upward trend, which would negatively impact risk assets. The S&P500's daily chart displays a breakdown of a rising wedge pattern, indicating a bearish corrective move towards $6,600, with invalidation above $7,050. Historically, Bitcoin's macro tops are followed by a mean reversion, consolidation, and then capitulation. The current price action aligns with a 'transitionary phase', suggesting further corrections are probable unless there is a sustained break above the Ichimoku Leading Span A, which has not yet occurred.
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