@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
YouTube
Avg. Quality
75
Success Rate
17.28
Analysis
544
Correct
94
Fail
283
Pending
167
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Fail
NFLX
Long Entry
100.2300
2025-12-07
17:45 UTC
Target
113.3400
Fail
92.7400
In 3 Days
Risk/Reward
1 : 2
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Final PnL
-7.47%
P/L: —
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Netflix stock has demonstrated significant historical growth, with annual revenue increasing from $8.8 billion in 2016 to over $43 billion in the most recent trailing twelve-month period (TTM) through 2025, representing a 391.23% total change and a 19.5% CAGR. This growth is underpinned by its pioneering role in streaming and its successful transition to original content production, which provides a strong competitive advantage and reduces reliance on external studios. The Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) has also seen substantial improvement, rising from 2.7% in 2016 to 22.7% in the 2024 TTM, indicating enhanced profitability and efficient capital allocation. The cash flow to sales ratio has similarly improved, moving from negative figures to a positive 22% in the TTM, demonstrating robust cash generation. The long-term value of its proprietary content library is expected to further drive subscriber engagement and growth. Netflix is currently trading at a forward P/E of 34.03, and an updated discounted cash flow (DCF) model calculates an intrinsic value per share of $97.26. Despite the current market price of $103.04, the analysis suggests the stock is fairly valued to slightly undervalued. For long-term investors looking towards 2026 and beyond, Netflix is considered a buy at current market prices and lower, with an inferred target price of $113.34 and a calculated failure bound at $92.74.