@parkevtatevosiancfa9544

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Avg. Quality

74

Success Rate

8.89

Analysis

225
Correct
20
Fail
50
Pending
155
Ineffective
0
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Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Fail
RIVN
Short Entry 14.0900 2025-09-18 04:03 UTC
Target 3.4500 Fail 15.0000 In 4 Days
Risk/Reward 1 : 12
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Final PnL
-6.46%
P/L:
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RIVN
Fail
Stocks
Fundamental
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The analysis reviews Rivian and Lucid, focusing on their sales and operating margins. Rivian's sales are expected to be flat or declining in 2025, with trailing 12-month sales at $5.2 billion. The management forecasts lower production this year than last year. A discounted valuation model suggests an intrinsic value of $3.45, while the current market price is $13.60, indicating overvaluation. Lucid is generating growth, with $900 million in trailing 12-month revenue, and is ramping up production of its Gravity SUV. A discounted valuation model yields an intrinsic value of $12, versus a current market price of $19.84, suggesting overvaluation. Therefore, the analyst does not want to own any of those, and if forces to choose one, would prefer Rivian.
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