The video analyzes Dogecoin's price movement using technical indicators and historical patterns. The analyst notes that when video views drop below 2000, Dogecoin tends to be at a bottom. 13 days ago, the bottom was around 0.15. He thinks that it may go down first then it confirms uptrend and the uptrend still holding, predicting that it would go to the target price of 0.30854. This suggests that the worst case is 0.18872.