The analysis focuses on XRP's potential for a three-wave move upwards. The price is currently in a holding pattern, and a break above the resistance area between $2.68 and $2.86 would confirm a short-term bullish thesis. However, the current structure is fragile, and any significant pullback or rejection at resistance could lead to further downside, potentially invalidating the bullish count and shifting the probabilities towards a different wave count. The second support zone between $0.4890 and $0.6058 remains a critical area to watch for potential long-term accumulation.