@RickOrford

YouTube

Avg. Quality

69

Success Rate

23.11

Analysis

264
Correct
61
Fail
119
Pending
83
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Fail
RKLB
Long Entry 88.8710 2026-01-24 01:00 UTC
Target 100.0000 Fail 85.0000 In 3 Days
Risk/Reward 1 : 3
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Final PnL
-4.36%
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RKLB
Fail
Stocks
Fundamental
1H
Analysis Predict Bull Market
Rocket Lab (RKLB) is an end-to-end space company involved in building rockets and satellites, primarily serving government agencies like NASA and the US Space Force. The company recently completed a Space Force mission five months ahead of schedule, demonstrating strong execution. Financially, Q3 2025 saw a 48% revenue increase to $155 million, with gross profit doubling to $57.3 million and gross margins expanding to 37%. Despite an increased operating loss, net loss improved due to strategic investments in the Neutron rocket. Rocket Lab maintains a healthy cash position of $808.8 million against $940 million in liabilities, providing sufficient capital for Neutron development. Key growth drivers include an $816 million prime contract for missile-defense satellites, increasing total Space Development Agency contracts to over $1.3 billion, and the upcoming Neutron rocket launch in mid-2026. Neutron, with its significantly higher payload capacity (43x Electron's), is projected to generate $18.5M-$20.4M profit per launch, potentially contributing $111M-$122M in annual gross profit from six launches. This is expected to accelerate the company's path to profitability. However, significant risks include intense competition from industry giants like SpaceX, Relativity Space, and Blue Origin, as well as customer concentration in government contracts, making the company vulnerable to budget cuts and program delays. The current stock valuation is considered high, with a price-to-book ratio of 35 and a price-to-sales ratio of 89. While analysts rate RKLB as a "Moderate Buy" with a high target of $100, the current price is close to this target, and the speaker recommends caution due to the high valuation and competitive pressures.
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