@ThomasBoletoTrader

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Avg. Quality

68

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40.39

Analysis

203
Correct
82
Fail
106
Pending
4
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
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Pending
BTCUSDT
Short Entry 95,716.0000 2026-01-16 06:55 UTC
Target 90,000.0000 Fail 97,000.0000
Risk/Reward 1 : 4
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BTCUSDT
Cryptocurrency
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
Bitcoin on the daily timeframe shows a red candle after touching the 100 moving average, indicating a potential correction. Two scenarios for this correction are presented: a fall towards the 90k-91k range, or a test of the 20 or 50 moving averages. The analysis also highlights a pennant formation, suggesting a bearish outlook if the lower boundary is breached. Indicators like the MACD are noted as lagging, while the RSI on the daily chart shows a bearish divergence, consistent with previous price drops after touching the upper trend line. The liquidity heatmap reveals significant stop-loss clusters below 90k, reinforcing the potential for a downside move. On the 12-hour chart, Bitcoin touched the 200 moving average and corrected, with key support levels identified at 98840, 95016, and 85093. The 4-hour chart displays an upward channel, and a bearish divergence on the RSI suggests a potential drop to test the lower boundary. Additionally, on the 30-minute chart, Bitcoin has broken below the 100 moving average, targeting 93k, and a clear double top and head and shoulders pattern are observed, both indicating an imminent price drop. Ethereum on the 4-hour chart has touched a strong resistance zone and shows a symmetric triangle pattern, implying a potential fall to test its lower trend line around 3050. Another identified upward channel for Ethereum also suggests a pullback to its lower bound. The MACD for Ethereum has crossed below, and the histogram shows red, while the RSI exhibits a clear bearish divergence, aligning with the projected downside movement.
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