@morecryptoonline

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Analysis

1338
Correct
353
Fail
888
Pending
94
Ineffective
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Pending
XAUUSD
Long Entry 4,588.4000 2026-01-18 17:18 UTC
Target 5,100.0000 Fail 3,600.0000
Risk/Reward 1 : 1
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XAUUSD
Forex
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bull Market
The analysis focuses on Bitcoin (BTCUSD), Gold (XAUUSD), and the Bitcoin/Gold ratio (BTCXAU) using Elliot Wave and Fibonacci retracements/extensions. For BTCUSD, the preferred interpretation on the 1D chart suggests a decline to the $74,000-$68,000 range, which would complete an A-wave, before a larger B-wave rally. However, the market has already seen a 20% rally from November lows to the current $97,000, and a break above $102,000 resistance would invalidate the decline thesis, indicating a more aggressive rally. The current state is considered a decision zone. For XAUUSD on the 2W chart, a five-wave advance from 2015 lows is observed, with an aggressive extension in the fifth wave. Gold is seen as bullish, with a potential target of $5,100. A break below $3,628 (61.8% Fib level) would suggest a deeper correction. The BTCXAU ratio on the 4D chart indicates a potential wave 4 correction following a third wave top in 2021. The current decline is structured as an A-B-C wave, with a target for the C-wave at approximately $17.22 to $16.17. The nearest resistance is between $22.45 and $23.69, and a break above this would likely trigger a larger corrective rally. For now, the pressure on BTCXAU appears to be downward, suggesting Bitcoin might underperform Gold.
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