The analysis highlights Bitcoin's historical patterns in mid-term election years (2014, 2018, 2022) where relief rallies were followed by significant price declines after failing to sustain above the 50-weekly moving average. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also shows rejections from an ascending trendline in these years, suggesting a similar top for the current relief rally. Bitcoin is currently trading around 96,163.70 USDT. The 50-weekly moving average (SMA) is identified as a key resistance at approximately 100,000 USDT. On-chain data indicates that short-term whales, who acquired positions around 97,000 USDT, are now exiting at break-even, contributing to selling pressure. The prediction is a rally towards the 100,000 USDT zone, which is expected to act as resistance, leading to a subsequent drop towards the 70,000-75,000 USDT range. This bearish outlook would be invalidated if Bitcoin breaks and sustains above 105,000 USDT, implying a deviation from historical cycles. For Ethereum, despite strong on-chain activity and smart money accumulation, its price is currently lagging Bitcoin, trading below its 2025 yearly open of approximately 3,678 USDT. Ethereum is expected to follow Bitcoin's direction, with a target to reclaim its 2025 yearly open. The bullish prediction for Ethereum would be invalidated if its price drops below 2,900 USDT.