@EverythingMoney
YouTube
Avg. Quality
75
Success Rate
6.15
Analysis
65
Correct
4
Fail
28
Pending
22
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
PYPL
Long Entry
59.9600
2025-12-27
17:30 UTC
Target
144.5200
Fail
50.0000
Risk/Reward
1 : 8
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The video presents a critical fundamental analysis of speculative quantum computing stocks (Rigetti, IonQ, D-Wave Quantum) versus a favorable outlook for PayPal. For Rigetti, the speaker highlights severe financial weaknesses, including minimal trailing twelve-month (TTM) revenue of $7.4 million, negative free cash flow of -$67.57 million, and a TTM net income of -$350.96 million. Critically, its Price/Sales ratio is 986.26, and shares outstanding have increased by 185.58%, indicating significant dilution. The speaker critiques the disconnect between an exciting technological narrative and poor financial performance, advising caution against "chasing the next hype cycle." IonQ and D-Wave Quantum are also identified as early-stage, speculative ventures with similar issues of cash burn and dilution, with IonQ's shares increasing 1473.06% and D-Wave's 1611.78% over three years.
In stark contrast, PayPal is presented as a fundamentally sound investment. With a current price of $59.47, PayPal boasts a substantial TTM revenue of $32.88 billion and positive free cash flow of $5.57 billion. It has healthy gross profit margins of 46.76% and net profit margins of 14.99%. Management projects accelerated transaction margins and over 20% adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) growth through 2027. Furthermore, PayPal is actively engaging in share buybacks, having repurchased 18.92% of its shares over five years and planning for an additional $6 billion. The intrinsic value, calculated via a discounted cash flow model, suggests a target of $144.52. The analysis advocates for a disciplined approach, prioritizing understandable business models, strong financial metrics, and a margin of safety over speculative trends.