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605
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NIO
Short Entry 6.6950 2025-11-11 04:51 UTC
Target 6.3400 Fail 7.2100
Risk/Reward 1 : 1
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NIO
Stocks
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The analysis, initially published on November 10, 2025, categorizes NIO as a sell candidate, evidenced by a score of -1.302 since November 6, 2025. Over this 3-day period, the stock experienced a 6.49% decline, equating to an average daily loss of 2.16%. While a short-term upward trend is observed, with the stock positioned at the lower end, a breach of the $6.45 trend floor could signal a deceleration or reversal. Longer-term, a three-month trend suggests a 31.48% change with anticipated returns ranging from 26.73% to 72.36%. A twelve-month forecast indicates a 45.91% change, with projected returns between 1.96% and 78.03%, potentially valuing the stock between $6.83 and $11.92. On the last trading day, November 10, 2025, NIO closed at $6.70, down 2.41% from $6.86, marking its third consecutive daily decline. The stock fluctuated by 6.09%, trading between $6.65 and $7.06, with a volume of 56 million shares, a decrease of 9 million, valued at approximately $376.51 million. The current price is 16.52% ($1.33) below its 52-week high of $8.02 and 90.01% ($60.30) below its all-time high of $66.99 set on January 11, 2021. Recent news highlights a record October for vehicle deliveries (40,397 units, up 92.6% year-over-year), contributing to year-to-date deliveries of 241,618 units (up 41.9%) and cumulative deliveries surpassing 913,000. New product launches and cost reductions underpin management's profitability roadmap for late 2027. Despite some intraday strength, market reactions are mixed, with tariffs and volatility dampening sentiment. One institutional investor reduced its stake, and an influential bank maintains a neutral stance, signaling limited upside for 2026. Technical signals include a buy signal from the 3-month MACD, but also sell signals from both short-term and long-term Moving Averages. A general sell signal is present where the long-term average is above the short-term average. Resistance levels are identified at $7.12 and $7.16, with a breakout above these potentially triggering buy signals. A sell signal from a pivot top on October 2, 2025, has led to a 15.15% decline, with further falls anticipated. The overall risk is assessed as medium, with weekly volatility at 4.90%. The stock's current price is $6.70, with resistance at $6.70 and support at $6.34. The P/E ratio is negative at -4.38, reflecting negative earnings. The next earnings report is anticipated on November 19, 2025, with a consensus estimate of -$0.240. Given the negative signals and expected weak performance, the stock is currently considered a sell candidate. The opening on November 11th is predicted to be up by $0.105, starting at $6.80.
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