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SOUN
Short Entry 12.6850 2025-12-08 22:45 UTC
Target 5.5200 Fail 14.5000
Risk/Reward 1 : 4
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SOUN
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Stocks
Fundamental
1H
Analysis Predict Bear Market
The analysis evaluates SoundHound AI (SOUN) stock, highlighting its significant 36% year-to-date decline in 2025. The company utilizes artificial intelligence, particularly enhanced voice AI, across business operations in sectors such as restaurants and automotive, identifying these as key areas for growth. Annual revenues have increased from $29.3 million in 2021 to $148.4 million in the most recent trailing 12-month period, demonstrating a compounded annual growth rate of 68.12%. This growth is primarily driven by acquisitions rather than internal organic expansion. The management's strategy of using an elevated stock price for acquisitions is noted as a smart move, avoiding dilution from equity sales that typically depress stock prices. Despite revenue expansion, SoundHound AI has historically posted negative returns on invested capital, although this improved from -170.6% in 2024 to -89% in 2025. Similarly, cash flow from operations relative to sales has improved from -312.2% in 2021 to -73.8% in 2025. However, the company remains unprofitable and not self-sustaining, carrying the risk of needing to raise further capital from investors, which could negatively impact the stock price. The company maintains over $200 million in cash on its balance sheet. A proprietary discounted cash flow model calculated an intrinsic value per share of $5.52. This is significantly below the current market price of $12.61, leading to the conclusion that the stock is overvalued. The recommendation for 2026 is a 'Hold', advising against purchasing the stock due to its inflated valuation.
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