@Swan_Bitcoin
YouTube
Avg. Quality
63
Success Rate
9.38
Analysis
32
Correct
3
Fail
20
Pending
8
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
BTCUSDT
Long Entry
90,970.3000
2025-12-08
22:28 UTC
Target
125,000.0000
Fail
53,000.0000
Risk/Reward
1 : 1
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The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's price trajectory within evolving macroeconomic and institutional landscapes. It highlights the current bull market's distinction from prior cycles, noting it occurs amidst quantitative tightening (QT) rather than quantitative easing (QE), yet Bitcoin's price has steadily appreciated since mid-2022. This contrasts with previous QT periods which saw bear markets. The speaker emphasizes a vastly improved macroeconomic backdrop for Bitcoin now, citing factors such as interest rates, Fed policy, central bank balance sheets, and money supply, alongside the absence of prior crypto collapses. A long-term bullish outlook is presented, with a base case prediction for Bitcoin to achieve a new all-time high between $125,000 and $126,000 by 2026. This projection is supported by the observation of continually rising yearly lows in Bitcoin's price history over the past decade, indicating market maturation, diminishing panic, and sustained accumulation. Institutional adoption is a major theme, with sovereign wealth funds actively buying into corrections and major financial institutions like Bank of America, Vanguard, Schwab, and Citi pivoting from skeptical to positive stances on Bitcoin, offering custody and investment services. The CFTC's approval of federally regulated spot Bitcoin trading provides crucial clarity and direct market access for institutional investors, further supporting the long-term bullish sentiment. This shift signifies a maturation of the market, where professional money managers with conviction view price dips as accumulation opportunities, leading to a smoother, less volatile, and continuously appreciating asset.