@parkevtatevosiancfa9544
YouTube
Avg. Quality
75
Success Rate
17.10
Analysis
544
Correct
93
Fail
275
Pending
176
Ineffective
0
Total Quality
Score
If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
Pending
PLTR
Short Entry
183.5700
2025-12-13
17:45 UTC
Target
99.2500
Fail
224.0800
Risk/Reward
1 : 2
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The analysis focuses on Palantir Technologies (PLTR) for investment in 2026, building on its strong 147% year-to-date return in 2025. Fundamental evaluation highlights exceptional revenue growth, accelerating from a CAGR of 32.1% (2018-2025) to 63% in the most recent quarter. This growth is driven by a strategic shift towards the larger enterprise market, complementing its historical success with government contracts. Profitability has also seen significant improvement, with Returns on Invested Capital soaring to 75% from negative figures in 2020. Operating Cash Flow to Sales ratios improved remarkably from -27.1% in 2020 to 46.6% currently. Despite these robust business fundamentals and Palantir's position in the high-demand Artificial Intelligence sector, the valuation metrics indicate significant overpricing. The forward Price-to-Earnings ratio stands at approximately 203.44, and the forward Price-to-Operating Cash Flow is about 192, representing a substantial premium compared to the S&P 500 average. A proprietary discounted cash flow model calculates an intrinsic value per share of $99.25, significantly below the current market price of $186.73. The conclusion is a 'Hold' rating due to the stock being overvalued, suggesting that the current price already incorporates much of its future excellent prospects. Investors are advised to wait for a better price, as a disappointing quarter could lead to a 40-50% price decline.