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If You Had Traded on This Analysis…
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BTCUSDT
Long Entry 85,556.3000 2025-12-18 22:01 UTC
Target 109,000.0000 Fail 70,000.0000
Risk/Reward 1 : 2
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BTCUSDT
Cryptocurrency
Technical
1H
Analysis Predict Bull Market
Bitcoin has recently experienced a Death Cross, indicated by its 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossing below its 200-day SMA. This event signals a loss of short-term bullish momentum and persistent selling pressure. Historical analysis since 2019 reveals six prior Death Cross occurrences. In four of these instances, Bitcoin consolidated before initiating an upward movement. In the remaining two, the Death Crosses coincided with local lows, leading to short-term bounces followed by significant drawdowns. Notably, all six previous Death Cross events eventually resulted in Bitcoin rallying back to its longer-term moving average. The current 200-day SMA is positioned at $109,000. The analysis suggests that if Bitcoin can establish a base and demonstrate indicators of reclaiming the $109,000 level, the broader market momentum would likely shift to a bullish stance. However, caution is advised for short-term price movements until such reclamation is confirmed. The historical pattern of eventual recovery to the 200-day SMA implies a potential long-term target of $109,000 for Bitcoin.
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