The analysis evaluates the potential for a Christmas rally in Bitcoin (BTCUSDT), drawing on patterns from the past two years where Bitcoin pumped in December, corrected, and then bounced leading into Christmas. Historical relief rallies for Bitcoin tend to peak in January after post-halving years and top out in the midterm year. BTC is showing higher lows suggesting potential. If a short can be secured at the 200 moving average, a bearish move is possible. Reclaiming its yearly open remains a key test for Bitcoin, but currently major resistance is at 94000. In that case if BTC breaks 94000 target is 100000, invalidation if reach 80000. Ethereum (ETHUSD) faces similar challenges, after the Fusaka upgrade, where reclaiming the 50-weekly moving average is crucial with a move to 3500. As alts do not have enough liquidity a uptrend depends on federal monetary policies.