The analysis focuses on HBAR/USDT, currently testing swing lows from April and June, showing no short-term strength but some promising price action on the shorter time frame. Following a swing low on November 21st around 12.5 cents, the market rebounded. However, the move up is identified as a three-wave pattern, necessitating a five-wave move up for confirmation of a meaningful low. Ideally, one more high is needed. For this to occur, the price should hold the Tuesday low at the 14-cent level, representing a 50% retracement. Holding this level is crucial to keep the upside impulse alive. A break below the 14 cent level would open the door for a larger correction and pullback. Upside from the current level should lead to 16 to 17 cents.