The analysis presents a bearish outlook for Bitcoin and MicroStrategy (MSTR). Bitcoin's four-year cycles are examined. It argues the pattern has been intact for all cycles showing highs in Q4 post halving year. It points out that Bitcoin has been losing the 50 simple moving average acting as indicator of a bear market has begun. The target price for Bitcoin is 72800, is calculated measuring an eleven to twelve-month drop, and the failure level is 92000. For MSTR, given oversold levels and a potential bounce, a continued decline to 107 is predicted based on a double top formation, with a failure bound at 200 . Technical indicators such as RSI are also considered to strengthen the analysis.